7
J J Monet
7yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 73
Gulfstream · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength14%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/2024 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 23/04/2025 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 11% | -0.52 |
| 25/07/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 05/09/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 26/09/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 08/11/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 30/11/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |