4
R Tun Who
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 62
Gulfstream · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.41 |
| 05/02/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 19/03/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |