5
Sound It Out
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 70
Gulfstream · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
Delivery trend -7.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 22/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 30/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 27/02/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 20% | -0.73 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |