Coffee At K J's
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 82
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-07-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-03-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 11/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 08/01/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 15/02/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 06/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 01/05/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 24/08/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |