Rachel's Coach
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 93
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/5
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-05-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 06/02/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 15/02/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 26/03/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 23/04/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 57% | -0.30 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 27/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |