10
Bernardo's Legacy
6yo Horse · 8-13 · OR 64
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength70%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 03/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 31/08/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 27/12/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 31/01/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 78% | -0.12 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 17/08/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |