5
Lodato
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 77
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength54%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 19/07/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 08/08/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |