2

Value Inthe Clouds

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 68

Gulfstream · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength35%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 21/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 7f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS21/09C6C9 @ Gulfstream 02/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 30 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark02/11/2025 · OR 30 parC9 @ Gulfstream 28/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 30 · 5f Fas 120 · beat its mark28/11/2025 · OR 30 par28/11C9OR 30C9 @ Gulfstream 21/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 48 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark21/12/2025 · OR 48 parC9 @ Gulfstream 08/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 62 · 5f110y Fas 122 · below its mark08/02/2026 · OR 62 par8/02C9OR 62C9 @ Gulfstream 12/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 68 · 5f Fas 122 · beat its mark12/03/2026 · OR 68 parC7 @ Gulfstream 01/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 72 · 5f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/05/2026 · OR 72 par1/05C7OR 72C7 @ Gulfstream 29/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 71 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/05/2026 · OR 71 parC8 @ Gulfstream 12/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 70 · 5f Fas 121 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 70 par12/06C8OR 70projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-12Gulfstream?6th6th0
2026-05-29Gulfstream?4th3rd+1
2026-05-01Gulfstream?6th5th+1
2026-03-12Gulfstream?1st2nd1
2026-02-08Gulfstream?3rd4th1
2025-12-21Gulfstream?2nd3rd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0921/121/0512/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength56%

Delivery trend +6.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20255th20/10%0%0.00
02/11/20258th11/271%13%-0.59
28/11/20252nd7/163%83%+0.20
21/12/20252nd5/493%75%-0.18
08/02/20263rd4/179%75%-0.04
12/03/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
01/05/20266th25/10%29%+0.29
29/05/20264th33/10%50%+0.50
12/06/20266th20/10%0%0.00