3
Vinicio
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 57
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-06-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength35%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2024 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 28/11/2024 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 04/05/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 14/06/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 03/08/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/10/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 07/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 23/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 04/01/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |