3

Artiste

3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 77

Gulfstream · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f

#5

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength37%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 19/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f Slo 122 · HIGHER CLASS19/03C6C9 @ Gulfstream 12/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 52 · 1m70y Fas 120 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 52 par12/04C9OR 52C9 @ Gulfstream 30/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 58 · 7f110y Fm 121 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 58 par30/04C9OR 58C7 @ Gulfstream 05/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 66 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 66 par5/06C7OR 66C7 @ Gulfstream 28/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 71 · 1m70y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 71 par28/06C7OR 71C7 @ Gulfstream 02/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 72 · 1m110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/08/2026 · OR 72 par2/08C7OR 72C7 @ Gulfstream 05/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 76 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 76 par5/09C7OR 76projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Gulfstream?7th6th+1
2026-08-02Gulfstream?4th3rd+1
2026-06-28Gulfstream?3rd2nd+1
2026-06-05Gulfstream?3rd2nd+1
2026-04-30Gulfstream?1st2nd1
2026-04-12Gulfstream?3rd4th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/035/065/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength43%

Delivery trend +7.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/03/20267th15/261%14%-0.46
12/04/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10
30/04/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
05/06/20263rd25/10%67%+0.67
28/06/20263rd12/137%50%+0.13
02/08/20264th16/116%50%+0.34
05/09/20267th20/10%0%0.00