Ignis Cor

3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 80

Gulfstream · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

65%

Place Prob

47%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength30%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.3

Today:

Class gap: +0.3

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-07-27	Gulfstream	?	1st	2nd	−1	7.8
2026-06-28	Gulfstream	?	2nd	3rd	−1	6.8
2026-05-10	Gulfstream	?	5th	6th	−1	3.8
2026-04-12	Gulfstream	?	7th	5th	+2	4.8
2026-03-19	Gulfstream	?	3rd	1st	+2	8.8
2026-02-14	Gulfstream	?	4th	2nd	+2	7.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%

▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price

Trend▬

Strength86%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 7.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
14/02/2026	4th	13/2	66%	67%	+0.01
19/03/2026	3rd	4/1	79%	71%	-0.08
12/04/2026	7th	16/1	16%	45%	+0.30
10/05/2026	5th	5/2	87%	43%	-0.44
28/06/2026	2nd	11/4	86%	83%	-0.02
27/07/2026	1st	5/2	87%	100%	+0.13