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2

Nosox

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 74

Gulfstream · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f

#7

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Del Mar 15/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 78 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 78 par15/08C7OR 78
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Del Mar?6th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength45%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20266th6/168%0%-0.68