Restock
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 69
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 02/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 04/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |