7

Pure Eloquence

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 92

Gulfstream · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

9/5

Win Prob

47%

Place Prob

35%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 19/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 5f Fm 11819/06C6C5 @ Turfway Park 02/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 101 · 6f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/01/2026 · OR 101 par2/01C5OR 101C6 @ Turfway Park 22/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 87 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark22/02/2026 · OR 87 par22/02C6OR 87C6 @ Gulfstream 12/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 95 · 1m Fm 118 · beat its mark12/03/2026 · OR 95 par12/03C6OR 95projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-12Gulfstream?1st1st0
2026-02-22Turfway Park?4th4th0
2026-01-02Turfway Park?5th4th+1
2025-06-19Gulfstream?1st2nd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/062/0122/0212/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +9.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
02/01/20265th8/158%33%-0.25
22/02/20264th20/10%63%+0.63
12/03/20261st11/271%100%+0.29