4
Secret Revenge
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 72
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-07-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength37%
Delivery trend +7.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 23/05/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 14/06/2025 | 4th | 4/5 | 96% | 25% | -0.71 |
| 11/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 10/08/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 20/09/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 31/10/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 28/12/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 26/03/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |