2

Sunglow
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 101
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-29 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-07-24 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-05-19 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-03-30 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/2024 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 28/09/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 19/01/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 30/03/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 78% | -0.08 |
| 19/05/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 70% | -0.18 |
| 24/07/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 29/08/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 28/09/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 17/08/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 20% | -0.66 |