Belle Of Liberty
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 73
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-07-31 | Colonial Downs | ? | 11th | 8th | +3 |
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |
| 26/04/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 31/07/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |