10
God I Need A Favor
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 59
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#15
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength47%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-12-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-11-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-09-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 12-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 11/10/2025 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 31/10/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 23/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 07/12/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 10/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |