3
I'm A Lil Wicked
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 60
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 10-16 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 15th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 06/02/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 22/02/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 01/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 22/07/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 13% | -0.45 |