13
Lady Lena
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 69
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#13
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Colonial Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 13/09/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 05/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 24/10/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 64% | -0.10 |
| 19/06/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 11/07/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |