9
Let Her Pass By
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 63
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength61%
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 14/12/2025 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 91% | +0.08 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 89% | +0.26 |
| 09/07/2026 | 11th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 23/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |