Over My Cents
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 79
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-06-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-09 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 15/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 29/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 78% | -0.13 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 73% | -0.14 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |