8

Boujee Bubblez

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 94

Laurel Park · Race 10 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

15%

Place Prob

21%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength58%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Colonial Downs 17/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 71 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/07/2025 · OR 71 par17/07C5OR 71C5 @ Colonial Downs 06/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 78 · 1m110y Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/08/2025 · OR 78 parC5 @ Colonial Downs 03/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 88 · 5f110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/09/2025 · OR 88 par3/09C5OR 88C5 @ Laurel Park 18/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 87 · 5f110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 87 parC5 @ Laurel Park 14/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 87 · 5f110y Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/11/2025 · OR 87 par14/11C5OR 87C6 @ Laurel Park 16/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 92 · 5f110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 92 parC5 @ Laurel Park 20/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 92 · 6f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 92 par20/06C5OR 92C0 @ Delaware Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 7f110y Fm 126C5 @ Colonial Downs 15/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 97 · 1m110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 97 par15/08C5OR 97projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Colonial Downs?7th5th+2
2026-07-25Delaware Park?4th4th0
2026-06-20Laurel Park?4th2nd+2
2026-05-16Laurel Park?1st0th+1
2025-11-14Laurel Park?1st-1th+2
2025-10-18Laurel Park?6th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0718/1020/0615/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength41%

Delivery trend -6.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20253rd11/271%71%+0.00
06/08/20253rd11/271%67%-0.04
03/09/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
18/10/20256th10/382%44%-0.38
14/11/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
16/05/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
20/06/20264th5/287%50%-0.37
25/07/20264th15/890%40%-0.50
15/08/20267th10/147%14%-0.33