Good Accelebrate
6yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 76
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#13
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-08-14 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-02-07 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 16/11/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 22/01/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 07/02/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 22/02/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 04/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |