13
Granuaile
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 79
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 11-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 55% | +0.02 |
| 20/02/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 45% | -0.39 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 22/07/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |