Honorable Chill
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 78
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#14
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-08-18 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-06-25 | Penn National | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-06-17 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 15/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 17/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 25/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 27/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |