I'mwishingonastar
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 83
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-24 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-03-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 23/01/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 13/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 13/03/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 25% | -0.68 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 63% | -0.24 |
| 02/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |