Mischief Maxey
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 87
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-08-17 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-07-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 17/05/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 29/06/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 13/07/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 17/08/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 27/09/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 12/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |