Sally's Gold
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 89
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 25/10/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 18/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 12/04/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 25% | -0.65 |