Dancing Denae
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 68
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-08 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 27/02/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 06/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 17/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 12/09/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |