7
Edelweiss
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 78
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/5
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
81%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength89%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 19/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 16/01/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 20/03/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/15 | 97% | 75% | -0.22 |