6
Gray Beast
3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 65
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 90% | +0.37 |
| 25/01/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 03/05/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 13% | -0.64 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 05/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |