Tell 'em I'm Comin
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 73
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-04-25 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 28/02/2026 | 1st | 1/20 | 100% | 100% | +0.00 |
| 07/03/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 01/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |