1
Dream Overture
3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 61
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-09-05 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-08-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength86%
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |
| 05/09/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 57% | -0.32 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 15/08/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 45% | -0.37 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |