6
Rylnnslookinglucky
4yo Filly · 9-13 · OR 53
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
42%
Place Prob
44%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 01/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 22/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 28/06/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |