4

Superlastingsecret
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 70
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-11-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-11-09 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 27/06/2025 | 4th | 5/4 | 93% | 73% | -0.21 |
| 23/07/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 09/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 30/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 89% | +0.01 |
| 26/12/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 05/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 31/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |