2
Zio Lino
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 73
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-04 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-12-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 13/03/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 25/04/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 10% | -0.27 |
| 21/12/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 04/02/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 22/02/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 14/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 02/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |