Legend's Girl

2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 63

Laurel Park · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

13%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▬

Strength32%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C5.7

Today:

Class gap: +0.3

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-30	Colonial Downs	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-08-02	Colonial Downs	?	4th	2nd	+2	7.8
2026-07-06	Colonial Downs	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-06-12	Laurel Park	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-05-01	Laurel Park	?	5th	5th	0	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%

▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price

Trend▲

Strength72%

Delivery trend +11.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
01/05/2026	5th	12/1	37%	0%	-0.37
12/06/2026	3rd	40/1	0%	67%	+0.67
06/07/2026	4th	7/1	63%	40%	-0.23
02/08/2026	4th	40/1	0%	57%	+0.57
30/08/2026	3rd	10/1	47%	71%	+0.24