5

Trinity

2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 55

Laurel Park · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 05/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 5f Fm 1195/07C6C6 @ Colonial Downs 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 63 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 63 par25/07C6OR 63projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 2
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Colonial Downs?5th5th0
2026-07-05Colonial Downs?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0725/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -45.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/20265th20/10%50%+0.50
25/07/20265th16/116%20%+0.04