El De Larry
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 94
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-12-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-11-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 12/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 88% | -0.05 |
| 01/11/2025 | 8th | 5/2 | 87% | 22% | -0.65 |
| 27/12/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 14/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |