16
Fightertown
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 87
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength3%
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 28/11/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 21/12/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 14/02/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 36% | -0.48 |
| 28/02/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |