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5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 84

Laurel Park · Race 6 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#16

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/08/2024 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 59 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark22/08/2024 · OR 59 par22/08C9OR 59C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 12/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 79 · 1m 120 · below its mark12/09/2024 · OR 79 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 86 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark29/10/2024 · OR 86 par29/10C9OR 86C9 @ Turfway Park 13/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 83 · 6f110y Fas 122 · below its mark13/12/2024 · OR 83 parC9 @ Turfway Park 08/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 74 · 6f110y 125 · below its mark08/02/2026 · OR 74 par8/02C9OR 74C9 @ Turfway Park 21/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 74 · 1m110y 126 · beat its mark21/03/2026 · OR 74 parC8 @ Churchill Downs 28/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 76 · 1m110y Fm 125 · below its mark28/04/2026 · OR 76 par28/04C8OR 76C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 83 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 83 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 85 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 85 par8/07C8OR 85projClass-projected finish: 13th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd4th−1
2026-06-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th5th−1
2026-04-28Churchill Downs?3rd4th−1
2026-03-21Turfway Park?1st3rd−2
2026-02-08Turfway Park?3rd5th−2
2024-12-13Turfway Park?3rd5th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0813/1228/048/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 10-16 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/20246th8/158%38%-0.20
12/09/20243rd20/10%82%+0.82
29/10/20242nd10/147%88%+0.40
13/12/20243rd15/261%78%+0.17
08/02/20263rd12/137%82%+0.45
21/03/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
28/04/20263rd14/126%82%+0.56
11/06/20264th6/492%67%-0.25
08/07/20263rd11/893%67%-0.26