1

Hyteck Prince

5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 86

Laurel Park · Race 6 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#12

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength14%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Colonial Downs 23/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 88 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/08/2025 · OR 88 par23/08C5OR 88C8 @ Laurel Park 05/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 88 · 1m1f Fm 123 · below its mark05/10/2025 · OR 88 parC8 @ Gulfstream 28/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 90 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark28/12/2025 · OR 90 par28/12C8OR 90C8 @ Gulfstream 16/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 92 · 1m70y Fas 123 · below its mark16/01/2026 · OR 92 parC8 @ Gulfstream 12/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 87 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark12/03/2026 · OR 87 par12/03C8OR 87C8 @ Laurel Park 11/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 87 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 87 parC8 @ Laurel Park 13/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 84 · 1m Fm 126 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 84 par13/06C8OR 84C8 @ Colonial Downs 24/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 88 · 1m110y Gd 123 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 88 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 20/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 86 · 1m 123 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 86 par20/08C8OR 86projClass-projected finish: 10th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Colonial Downs?1st2nd1
2026-07-24Colonial Downs?2nd3rd1
2026-06-13Laurel Park?4th5th1
2026-04-11Laurel Park?4th5th1
2026-03-12Gulfstream?8th9th1
2026-01-16Gulfstream?4th5th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0816/0113/0620/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength47%

Delivery trend +7.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/20257th13/266%33%-0.32
05/10/20255th10/147%20%-0.27
28/12/20256th20/10%17%+0.17
16/01/20264th25/10%50%+0.50
12/03/20268th25/10%0%0.00
11/04/20264th8/158%40%-0.18
13/06/20264th7/163%50%-0.13
24/07/20262nd14/126%88%+0.61
20/08/20261st9/153%100%+0.47