2
Koru
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 86
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2025-11-02 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength47%
Delivery trend +7.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 17/07/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/08/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 45% | -0.31 |
| 17/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 04/10/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 19/04/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |