Mccullough
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 96
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 89% | -0.05 |
| 30/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 15/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 27/12/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |
| 12/03/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 55% | -0.11 |
| 27/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 30% | -0.17 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 03/09/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |