Mohs
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 97
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-03-12 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-01-26 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-12-14 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2024 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 23/08/2024 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 14/09/2024 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 14/12/2024 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 26/01/2025 | 3rd | 10/11 | 95% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 12/03/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 21/03/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |