Six Fortyfive
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 95
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-08-02 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-06-03 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 22/03/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 82% | +0.29 |
| 03/06/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 26/06/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 02/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |