Zevon
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 93
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-10-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 23/07/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 14/09/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 20/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 11/10/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |