3
Fabia
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 82
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
32%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength91%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 27/12/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 17/01/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 06/02/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 22/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 15/03/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |