2
Kentucky Mule
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 71
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-11-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength44%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 02/01/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 45% | -0.28 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 06/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |